Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 3478.072975 3724.214228 3970.337506 4234.588729 4509.952294 4788.127215 5090.065333
2025-11-09 3040.207353 3411.292604 3793.149861 4214.272830 4664.497872 5130.291876 5647.486501
2025-11-16 2786.616204 3237.324745 3710.963776 4243.395245 4822.870825 5432.190342 6119.061148
2025-11-23 2552.484293 3057.962887 3599.015726 4217.289068 4900.374602 5628.345970 6459.145326
2025-11-30 2418.716594 2974.926585 3579.620258 4280.112886 5063.615640 5907.702175 6880.530979
2025-12-07 2274.742117 2869.249702 3525.204298 4294.839763 5165.503048 6112.801050 7214.299635
2025-12-14 2129.859749 2753.308779 3451.092419 4279.817747 5227.382459 6267.861454 7487.617153
2025-12-21 1966.139431 2606.757618 3334.287179 4208.970423 5219.740303 6339.684939 7663.067580
2025-12-28 1932.843153 2611.008223 3389.466980 4333.715011 5433.200604 6659.283538 8116.221836
2026-01-04 1864.574390 2569.300830 3387.429966 4389.014869 5564.462701 6883.904936 8460.751516
2026-01-11 1775.507698 2498.052419 3346.782998 4395.770300 5636.753893 7039.062916 8724.580364
2026-01-18 1694.938092 2433.546635 3311.061248 4405.540409 5710.207253 7193.729339 8986.434784
2026-01-25 1630.888467 2388.226401 3297.922365 4442.449476 5816.617443 7388.384222 9297.251673
2026-02-01 1541.926883 2308.056906 3239.540272 4422.666536 5854.276130 7502.125759 9514.117004
2026-02-08 1483.402534 2264.212128 3223.760497 4452.686911 5949.765982 7682.358495 9807.499412
2026-02-15 1401.649361 2186.889888 3163.484722 4425.754878 5974.835511 7778.228325 10001.156191
2026-02-22 1367.456164 2170.467681 3178.477847 4490.564216 6109.864863 8003.463108 10346.286339
2026-03-01 1313.071918 2124.943598 3154.751384 4505.755028 6183.474419 8155.051435 10604.294309
2026-03-08 1248.371335 2063.009716 3107.947992 4490.259775 6218.134664 8259.130614 10805.382667
2026-03-15 1162.900544 1969.422525 3017.459882 4417.172528 6179.873844 8274.147668 10899.339539
2026-03-22 1165.220813 1997.381749 3085.646089 4545.852236 6391.362971 8590.158841 11352.659900
2026-03-29 1138.708092 1983.751659 3098.261456 4602.883625 6513.537999 8798.284521 11677.316348
2026-04-05 1093.757943 1942.348027 3072.766914 4609.850047 6572.469798 8929.294448 11909.335454